<i>In Silico</i> modeling of immune-cardiovascular-endocrine interactions

Kristen A Windoloski; Johnny T Ottesen; Mette S Olufsen; Kristen A Windoloski; Johnny T Ottesen; Mette S Olufsen

ISSN: 2455-2976

Journal of Cardiovascular Medicine and Cardiology

Short Communication Open Access Peer-Reviewed

In Silico modeling of immune-cardiovascular-endocrine interactions

Kristen A Windoloski¹, Johnny T Ottesen² and Mette S Olufsen^1*

Author and article information

¹Department of Mathematics, North Carolina State University, 2311 Stinson Drive, Raleigh, NC 27695-8205, USA
²Centre for Mathematical Modeling, Human Health and Disease and Department of Science and Environment, Roskilde University, Roskilde, Denmark

*Corresponding author: Mette S Olufsen, Professor, Department of Mathematics, North Carolina State University, 2311 Stinson Drive, Raleigh, NC 27695-8205, USA, Tel: +1 (919) 515-2678; Fax: +1 (919) 513-7336; E-mail: [email protected]

ORCiD : https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2694-0044

doi : 10.17352/2455-2976.000186

Received: 22 September, 2022 | Accepted: 14 October, 2022 | Published: 15 October, 2022

Keywords: Mathematical modeling; Inflammation; Cardiovascular dynamics; Endotoxin challenge

Cite this as

Windoloski KA, Ottesen JT, Olufsen MS. (2022) In Silico modeling of immune-cardiovascular-endocrine interactions. J Cardiovasc Med Cardiol 9(4): 037-041. DOI: 10.17352/2455-2976.000186

Copyright License

© 2022 Windoloski KA, et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

Abstract

The immune system provides an intricate, balanced response to combat the effects of inflammatory stimuli. It incorporates both positive and negative feedback from multiple physiological systems such as the cardiovascular and endocrine systems including mechanisms functioning on a variety of time scales. They have been studied individually via scientific experiments and using mathematical modeling. However, more analysis is needed to study the interactions between these three systems during an inflammatory event. We present the first dynamical systems model studying immune, cardiovascular and endocrine responses to a 2 ng/kg bolus dose of endotoxin. The model is calibrated to experimental data from two endotoxin challenge studies and we use this model to investigate the effects of endotoxin dosage, administration timing and administration method. Our model shows that most repercussions of endotoxin administration clear the system within 24 hours, but effects can linger for up to 72 hours.

Main article text

Introduction

It is well-known that the immune system, the cardiovascular system and the endocrine system interact during an immune event that incites an inflammatory response, such as an infection or injury [1-9] These three complex systems function on varying time scales, ranging from seconds to days, which affects the progression and resolution of inflammation and resulting symptoms accordingly. While numerous experimental in vitro and in vivo studies have been conducted to study the inflammatory response and its bi-directional communication with the cardiovascular and endocrine systems [2,7,10-12] in silico experiments have the capability to further investigate dynamics between systems, challenge the included concepts and mechanisms and extrapolate the model to study clinically relevant scenarios not captured in the traditional experimental setting. Because of the abundance of data from in vitro and in vivo studies, in silico experiments can make more accurate predictions by using the data to calibrate and validate the model. The use of mathematical modeling to improve our knowledge surrounding the inflammatory response is critical to expedite diagnosis, develop and test treatment regimes and decrease mortality associated with inflammatory diseases such as sepsis.

Methods

Here, we discuss our recent results of a mathematical model coupling immune, cardiovascular, and endocrine dynamics across various time scales during an endotoxin (lipopolysaccharide, LPS) challenge [13]. To study the effect of time scales on dynamics, we utilize our model to simulate variations in endotoxin dosage, administration timing, and administration method. We also gain insight into relevant but understudied experimental setups investigating inflammatory diseases, which are of interest in the clinical environment. Our dynamical systems model relating immune, cardiovascular, and endocrine interactions consists of 18 state variables, and over 100 parameters, and is composed of three submodels. The model includes 17 ordinary differential equations and one delay differential equation. Individual model subsystems were derived in previous work [14-16], but the combined immune-cardiovascular-endocrine model is the first model examining the dynamics between these three subsystems integrating various time scales. The model schematic is shown in Figure 1.

The first submodel (Figure 2a) details the immune system’s response to endotoxin. The model predicts time-varying concentrations of the endotoxin (lipopolysaccharide, LPS), resting and activated monocytes and pro and anti-inflammatory cytokines (TNF-, IL-6 and IL-10). The immune subsystem contains major elements integral to the activation of the innate immune system and thus, the development of inflammation. Primary symptoms of inflammation at the site of injury or infection include heat and pain [7]. The whole-body inflammatory response to endotoxin incites fever and activation of pain receptors [17]. Therefore, body temperature and pain components are also included in the model. The second subsystem (Figure 2b) describes cardiovascular dynamics. We use a four-compartment model of systemic circulation to describe changes in volume, pressure and flow. We also model cardiovascular control mechanisms such as vascular resistance, heart rate, blood pressure and nitric oxide. Finally, the third submodel (Figure 2c) consists of tracking concentrations of hormones released in the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis. These include corticotropin-releasing hormone (CRH), adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) and cortisol. Stimulation of the hypothalamus both from the body’s natural circadian rhythm as well as the immune system prompts the start of this hormone cascade [6,14]. There is extensive evidence of communication between these three submodels during an inflammatory event [1-9]. These couplings in the model are highlighted in Figures 1,2.

The mathematical model described above was calibrated to mean experimental data from two separate studies, both administering 2 ng/kg of LPS to male volunteers. We used cytokine, temperature, and hormonal data from Clodi, et al. and cardiovascular and pain data from Janum et al. to calibrate the model [18,19]. Parameters used in [14-16] for the original individual submodels were scaled and recalibrated to fit the experimental data. New parameters corresponding to couplings between the three systems were added sequentially into the model and were manually adjusted.

Results and discussion

The initial model calibration (Figure 3) shows the model output for the bolus administration of 2 ng/kg of LPS into the system at t =37.5 hours (corresponding to 1:30 pm). The model follows the time series data from [18,19] by exhibiting an initial reduction in pain threshold and an increase in cytokine, cardiovascular, hormonal and thermal states followed by a decrease in blood pressure and resistance below their initial values. While immune components return to baseline within six hours, other model states had longer recovery times. Hormonal status, under the circadian and ultradian influence, took at least 24 hours to recover and thermal, cardiovascular and pain states took between 10 and 72 hours to fully recover from an endotoxin insult.

Following model calibration, we performed several endotoxin challenge experiments in silico such as varying LPS administration time, the total bolus dose administered and the method of administration. The first scenario showed minor effects on immune, cardiovascular, temporal and pain states relative to Figure 3. Administration timing did, however, impact hormone dynamics. When endotoxin was administered in the early morning or late evening, CRH exhibited larger concentration spikes and all three HPA states showed increased ultradian oscillations following endotoxin exposure. Hormone states returned to baseline after approximately 24 hours while recovery of other model states followed that in Figure 3.

The latter two in silico experiments we performed are clinically pertinent. Since endotoxin doses must be safe for participants, the LPS threshold is low [20] which prevents more realistic scenarios of inflammation seen in disease from being experimentally studied in vivo. Here, we increased the bolus dose administered from the original 2 ng/kg to 4, 8 and 16 ng/kg. The immune response intensified as the dose increased by activating at a faster rate and producing much larger concentrations of IL-6 and IL-10. A lower pain threshold, a slightly higher fever and a drop in blood pressure approaching hypotension also appeared as the LPS dose was elevated. In the HPA axis, initial hormone release was suppressed and oscillations were dampened in subsequent 24-hour cycles as the LPS dose increased.

The method of endotoxin administration is also a pertinent topic within the scientific community. Repeated endotoxin dose studies simulate the recurrence of infection following an initial insult and have been done experimentally [21-23] and in silico [14,24]. Our in silico repeated dose study showed that immune, temporal, pain and heart rate states are exacerbated when the second dose is administered at or near peak levels from the first dose (within 6 hours) but suppressed when the second dose is administered after recovery. Like these dynamics, blood pressure drops close to hypotension when the second dose is given at or just after peak levels but narrowly deviates from baseline if given after recovery. Effects on hormone release are seen up to 48 hours after the first dose, including increased or damped oscillations and peaks.

Another variation of endotoxin dose administration is a continuous infusion. While a bolus dose of LPS is the commonly accepted endotoxin challenge form, it is recognized that a continuous infusion of endotoxin over several hours better portrays immunostimulant exposure in inflammatory diseases [13,17,25,26]. Therefore, we use our model to simulate a 2 ng/kg continuous infusion of endotoxin over a 4-hour period (Figure 4). As seen in data conducted from in vivo experiments [27], our model shows a delay in the activation of the immune system. This delay then cascades to delay cardiovascular, hormonal, temporal and pain reactions. Once activated, the system exhibits larger peaks in immune, temporal and nitric oxide states. A more extreme cardiovascular response is seen, too, where blood pressure drops to about 100mmHg nearing hypotension. Hormone release was moderately suppressed and oscillation frequency was somewhat increased in the following 24-hour cycle. For a more in-depth look at the results regarding in silico experiments conducted using our model, we refer to our publication [13].

Here, we presented a complex, dynamic systems model studying coupled immune, cardiovascular and endocrine dynamics during an endotoxin challenge. We incorporated various time scales into the model including both circadian and ultradian rhythms and studied endotoxin variations in administration timing, dose and method. The novelty of our model is that it is the first model to investigate dynamics between the immune, cardiovascular and endocrine systems in response to endotoxin up to several 24-hour cycles following endotoxin administration. The strength of the couplings between the systems is of great interest in gaining an understanding of how the submodels interact. Our work builds the foundation for further investigation into these couplings, including mathematically rigorous sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation schemes to determine which parameters have the greatest influence on system dynamics. Because of the lack of knowledge associated with the coupling parameter values, it would also be appropriate to formally quantify the uncertainty of these parameters.